It does not matter how well you're
seeing things when it comes to betting, you still get nervous, sometimes extra
nervous. I loved quite a few games yesterday. Ended up going 8-0 on all my
personal bets in the NBA, but then I study the schedule for today. Then I study
some more. I don't love anything and there's got to be a psychological
reasoning for it. I must be thinking 'It won't get better than yesterday, why
try!' No matter the psychosis, time to move on! I zeroed in on the only total I
lean to at all today and will be releasing it as my free play for Monday.
Golden State is at Dallas, where the
Mavericks are 4-1 to the OVER mainly because of how well OJ Mayo has played in
those contests. He's averaging over 7.5 more points there and the team is really
pushing the pace as a whole at American Airlines Center. They already are top
10 in pace factor overall, but it's much better at home.
The Warriors are in the midst of a
three games in four night’s road trip, and the previous two have gone over the
posted total. They may not be the Warriors of old under Coach Don Nelson, but
they are currently top 3 in pace and really handling the offense different from
a year ago. They seem to always be dealing with injury issues, Andrew Bogut is
the one now with an ankle issue, and is out indefinitely. That doesn't affect
my opinion on the OVER one iota.
The current total has settled in for
our betting purposes today at 199 1/2, and the OVER is most definitely the
right side IMO!
NBA quick hitter: Yesterday we gave
out our biggest NBA selection of the year so far at chuckedel.com,
the OVER in Houston/ Lakers game. It was never a sweat from the tip and the
reasoning is very simple, the new coaching regime wants to completely change
the offense and they're gonna push, push, push. It was an easy feat versus the
Rockets, and if the total does not adjust enough in their next game, get on
that OVER until they do eventually catch up to what the real number should be!
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