Thursday, September 26, 2013

Dos Free Picks

The Play: Nevada -10 vs. Air Force

Porque?

-The Wolfpack are at home and will face a banged up Air Force team that will need all the help they can get against Cody Fajardo and Nevada's air attack. Air Force's main troubles go beyond their injuries as starting QB Jaleel Awini has been ruled out due to a suspension. Awini has been the team's main playmaker after taking over for Kale Pearson behind center. Pearson remains injured so the Falcons will have to get creative.

-On the otherside, the Wolfpack have largely struggled to due defensive lapses and the health of QB Cody Fajardo. They've listed Fajardo as probable which will make all the difference for a team looking to go 2-0 in conference play. Kendall Brock will need to step up his game in the backfield and will be an integral part in settling Fajardo back into the lineup. Brock Hekking has the teams only 3 sacks on the season. While they won't have much of an opportunity to sack the QB against the option, they'll need to overpower a depleted line for the cover.


The Play: New Mexico State +17.5 vs. San Diego State

Porque?

-For one, the 0-3 Aztecs have absolutely no business being 3 score road favorites to anyone. While the Aggies aren't world beaters, they've played much stiffer competition (UCLA, Minnesota, Texas) and should welcome the steep drop in class. This is the same San Diego State team that lost by 21 points to FCS Eastern Illinois. Quinn Kaehler has taken over for an ineffective Adam Dingwell, but hasn't fared very well. RB Adam Muema who had a breakthrough season last year is only averaging 3 yards per carry.

-The two man QB tandem of King Davis III and Andrew McDonald hasn't been terrible for New Mexico State. McDonald is completing 70% of his passes and has 4 TDs to 2 INTs. Davis III is used primarily in a rushing role and has 111 yards on 22 carries. Germi Morrison and Brandon Betancourt fill out the backfield and have been largely ineffective, but should have an easier time this week against a weak defense. Speaking of defenses, while their team has allowed a boatload of points, they've been opportunistic picking the ball off 6 times.

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