This Big 12 battle is equally important for both schools, as
Oklahoma State battles to establish an identity and try to lock up the
conference title. West Virginia has to
rebound after whats been a pretty disastrous start to the season.
When Oklahoma State has the ball:
The Cowboys offense spent basically one half slumping this season,
the first half against Mississippi State.
Since then they’ve rolled just as they have for years. They currently average 6.6 yards per play,
4.8 on the ground and 8.3 through the air.
They’ve converted 55.6% of their third downs, and have scored on all 15
of their red zone trips. It started with
eh switch to JW Walsh, who is compelting 70.2% of his passes for 642 yards and
5 TDs with just a single Int. Walsh
brought the added threat of a mobile QB and one that was able to avoid the
rush, averaging 7.28 yards per rush, while being sacked just twice and hurried
only 6 times. Wideout Josh Stewart has
converted all of his third down catches for first downs, and has had 10 of his
12 catches result in firsts. Walsh has
also found Jhajuan Seales 11 times for 123 yards, while Blake Jackson has had
half of his catches go for 15 yards or more.
Senior RB Jeremy Smith has averaged 4.76 yards per carry and scored 6
times, averaging 4.4 yards per attempt in the red zone.
The Mountaineers defense has actually had a very solid
season so far. They limited Oklahoma to
just 16 points despite Maryland scoring 37 points, held them to just 4.6 yards
per play. They’ve been somewhat
vulnerable to big run plays though, ranking 116th after giving up 28
of those runs. They’ve made plenty of
plays in the backfield, with 28 tackles for loss lead by Will Clarke, a senior
with 12 total tackles (5.5 for loss) and 3 sacks. Sophomore LB Nick Kwiatkoski leads the team
with 29 stops, and Darwin Cook who has 20 solo tackles from his safety
position. Cook also leads the team with
2 picks, while KJ Dillon and Daryl Worley both have 3 passes defended.
When West Virginia has the ball:
The Mountaineers offense came into the season with questions
about whether or not they could sustain their start from last season without
Geno Smith. The answer so far has been a
resounding no, as they’ve averaged under 6 yards per play on offense and
converted just an abysmal 28.9% of their third down attempts. Currently Ford Childress is going to continue
starting, after completing just 57.1% of his passes for 6.7 yards per attempt
with 3 TDs and 3 Ints. He has been
decent on third downs, converting 5 of his 17 attempts, and 4 of his 10 in the
4-9 yards to go range. This Qb shuffle hasn’t
stopped big plays from happening for the receivers though, as both Ronald
Carswell and Ivan McCartney are averaging over 15 yards a catch (21.8 and 15.3
respectively). With Daikiel Shorts
playing the possession receiver with 12.6 yards per catch, they have made some
plays. The run game has actually been a strength
this year, pcikign up 32 first downs so far.
Charles Sims and Dreamius Smith are both having good years, averaging
5.5 and 6.4 yards per carry respectively with a combined 4 TDs.
The Pokes have been able to lock opponents down, allowing
just 13.7 points per game. They’ve held
third down conversions to just 28.3%, despite allowing opponents have have an
11 minute advantage in time of possession.
They’ve also kept teams out of the redzone with just 8 trips, and only 5
of them have succeeded in scoring. 16
players have logged at least . 5 TFL, with senior LB Caleb Lavey leading with
3.5. Lavey has 21 total tackles, tied
for the team lead with S Daytawion Lowe.
Fellow Safety Shamiel Gary has 3 passes defended, and 4 players each have
an Int. The only place they could be
improved is that they’ve only generated 7 sacks and 11 QB hurries so far,
Calvin Barnett leading the way with 2 hurries and tallying a sack.
What’s our take:
The Cowboys are the better team, and its not really
close. Their offense though matches up
against a WVU defense that has been slightly underrated despite giving up some
big plays. The OK State defense is
pretty good, and the Mountaineers aren’t scaring anyone with a RS Freshman
starting at QB. Should be pretty
straight forward for Ok State to pull away in this one.
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