ACC Championship Game: Duke vs Florida State

In one of this season's most unlikely stories, the Duke Blue Devils have gotten to double digit wins and an ACC title berth.  They face again almost insurmountable odds, needing to best the Florida State Seminoles to win the ACC.  Jameis Winston has been unstoppable all season, and is a clear Heisman favorite just as a freshman.

The disparity between these two teams on offense is pretty huge.  Despite averaging 33 points the Blue Devils have gone three and out on 22% of their drives this season.  Duke does posses one of the better return games in the nation.  They've scored four  return touchdowns and are averaging 13.6 yards on punts and 26 yards on kickoffs.

The Seminoles have basically been able to have their way with opposing defenses, both through the air and on the ground.  They only have gone three and out 19 times this season, good for a 12.8% mark.  Winston has of course been great, completing 68.8% of his passes with 35 touchdowns and just eight picks.  He's also hit 101 passes of more than 15 yards, driving his 11 yards per attempt mark.  The run game is a three headed monster of Devonta Freeman, James Wilder Jr and Karlos Williams who have averaged 5.9, 7.1, and 8.2 yards per carry respectively.  The trio has 30 rushing touchdowns, and has not had a game where they have not combined for at least 100 yards.  

Defense has been the Blue Devils' calling card this year, lead by Kenny Anunike, a DE out of Ohio.  He leads the team with 64 total tackles and has 13.5 of them for loss, also to lead the team.  The secondary has been good as well, defending 13.9% of the passes thrown against them, having picked off 16 of them.  

The FSU defense has been very good this season, with 27 players sporting at least one tackle for loss.  Timmy Jernigan has 10.5 from his defensive tackle spot, with a pair of QB hurries to go with his 4 sacks.  The Noles have only allowed 11 points per game this season, and completely dismantled Clemson in Carolina.  

Duke should have no chance in this game.  FSU is better in every category, and has controlled every game they've played.  But thats also what folks have been saying all season about the Blue Devils, and they've consistently proven people wrong.  If FSU allows themselves to take Duke as lightly as they did BC, the Blue Devils have had a  penchant for making mistakes go their way.  This is too unlikely to happen though with FSU knowing their trip to the National Championship depends on this game now.  They should roll big.