Little Caesars Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Bowling Green

Matchup: Pittsburgh vs. Bowling Green
Location: Detroit, Michigan ~ Ford Field
Line: Bowling Green -4. Total 49.5

Keys to Victory for Pittsburgh
-To no one's surprise, Aaron Donald has been the best player on Pitt's defense all year. I'm not sure anyone would have predicted Donald to be one of the most decorated players in College Football history though. Donald took home 4 regular season player awards and will be sure to clog up any sort of interior running the Falcons try to pull.
-The two receivers. Devin Street is the top WR on the team, but Freshman Tyler Boyd has looked great this season as he will carry the torch after Street graduates this year.
-The Offensive Line will certainly be tested as they haven't looked good all season. QB Tom Savage has been sacked a total of 41 times this.
-Speaking of Savage, he actually hasn't had too bad of a season considering the inconsistent line play in front of him. He still passed for nearly 3,000 yards with 21 TDs and 9 INTs. The Rutgers transfer can lead his team to victory, provided he keeps turnovers down.

Keys to Victory for Bowling Green
-Matt Johnson is a vastly underrated QB because of the fact that he plays in the same conference as Jordan Lynch. His 162.4 passer rating is good for 10th in the nation (don't ask me how the NCAA figures out passer rating). He passed for 3,195 yards along with 23 TDs and 5 INTs.
-The defense has been elite this season and should provide problems for an inconsistent Panther offense. They rank 5th in the nation in scoring D (14.8 ppg) and 2nd in redzone efficiency.
-RB Travis Greene will face his toughest task of the season and should be considered the most important player on the field for Bowling Green. Greene had a stellar season with 1,555 yards rushing and 15 TDs. Johnson also can move the ball on the ground as he carried the ball 100 times and found the endzone 5 times rushing.

Prediction: Bowling Green is rightfully favored in this game even though they're conference top to bottom is weaker. They should eke out a victory over Pitt, but will have to establish that running game early if they want to do so.